Jinci Liu

Jinci Liu

Welcome!

I am a Presidential Fellow in the Department of Strategy and Policy at the National University of Singapore Business School. I will join the department as an Assistant Professor in 2028.

I completed my PhD at the Institute for International Economic Studies.

My research lies at the intersection of labor, personnel, and organizational economics. I study the determinants of workplace productivity in the digital era, with a focus on managers, teams, and workplace practices.

CV

Working Papers

Managing by Feedback [New version soon!]

Abstract

How does managerial feedback affect worker productivity? Using data from GitHub and LinkedIn, I analyze 230 million feedback messages from code reviews across 1.7 million software teams, and use large language models to separate feedback tone (toxicity, positivity) from information content (constructiveness). Exploiting the random assignment of reviewers, I find that toxic feedback reduces workers' subsequent code output by 43% and lowers its quality, whereas nontoxic criticism has no such detrimental effects. The harm comes from attacking the worker, not from criticizing the work. Positive feedback raises productivity and firm retention, and spills over to coworkers. Information matters on a different margin: constructive feedback raises neither output nor quality but instead shifts effort from new production to revision. Feedback also reflects a managerial trait: differences in feedback style explain 22% of the variation in manager value-added. These results show that feedback style not only affects worker productivity but also captures a measurable component of manager quality.

How does the Division of Labor Affect Team Productivity? Evidence from GitHub [New version soon!]

Abstract

Does the division of labor increase team productivity? This paper provides new evidence challenging the conventional view that specialization increases productivity. I create a panel dataset from GitHub, covering 35 million task allocations across 64,400 software development teams from 2017 to 2023. My result shows a negative relationship between team specialization and various productivity metrics, including output quality, quantity, and user issue resolution time. To identify causal effects, I exploit GitHub’s introduction of an automatic task assignment feature, which evenly distributes tasks across team members. Using a matched difference-in-differences design, I find that adoption of this feature reduces specialization and leads to significant gains in productivity: output quality rises by 4%, output quantity by 21%. Team communication also increases by 13%, suggesting that improved interaction and knowledge exchange are a key mechanism behind these productivity gains. These findings highlight a trade-off in non-routine production: while specialization increases task-specific human capital, it impedes cross-task knowledge spillovers that are essential for innovation.

Political Preferences and Migration Decisions of College-Educated Workers

Conditionally accepted, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics

Publications

The Demographic Impact of Weather Disasters

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2026

Work in progress

Brain Demand: Evolution of Jobs and Rise of Women in the US

Power within Teams: How Decision Power Affects Productivity

Teaching

Applied Empirical Economics PhD (SU)

Teaching Assistant: 2022-2023

Econometric Modeling and Applications II PhD (NUS)

Teaching Assistant: 2020

Microeconomic Analysis I Bachelor (NUS)

Teaching Assistant: 2020

Contact

  • jinci.liu@nus.edu.sg or liujincitina@gmail.com
  • National University of Singapore 15 Kent Ridge Drive Mochtar Riady Building #6-39 Singapore 119245